Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.164757 0.187860 0.213524 0.244234 0.280091 0.320766 0.370586
2026-01-18 0.131220 0.162638 0.201038 0.251817 0.317776 0.401342 0.516485
2026-01-25 0.109097 0.143561 0.188707 0.252998 0.343540 0.468528 0.657697
2026-02-01 0.093743 0.129283 0.178461 0.252795 0.364636 0.530468 0.802350
2026-02-08 0.081818 0.117292 0.168662 0.250308 0.380288 0.585357 0.946209
2026-02-15 0.072374 0.107258 0.159798 0.247049 0.393069 0.636631 1.093779
2026-02-22 0.066749 0.102053 0.157235 0.252783 0.420585 0.716117 1.307487
2026-03-01 0.060180 0.094464 0.149764 0.249011 0.430740 0.766422 1.477513
2026-03-08 0.055382 0.089121 0.145188 0.249324 0.447848 0.832019 1.693056
2026-03-15 0.051174 0.084252 0.140754 0.249101 0.463618 0.897476 1.924089
2026-03-22 0.048399 0.081508 0.139637 0.254730 0.491511 0.992530 2.246698
2026-03-29 0.045672 0.078538 0.137727 0.258474 0.516015 1.084888 2.588308
2026-04-05 0.043105 0.075657 0.135762 0.262062 0.541332 1.185531 2.985122
2026-04-12 0.041158 0.073733 0.135404 0.268932 0.575233 1.314023 3.500870
2026-04-19 0.038747 0.070679 0.132492 0.269954 0.595885 1.414590 3.970863
2026-04-26 0.036445 0.067611 0.129209 0.269689 0.613403 1.511017 4.462690
2026-05-03 0.034135 0.064311 0.125102 0.267003 0.624480 1.592711 4.937080
2026-05-10 0.031973 0.061113 0.120881 0.263493 0.632872 1.668930 5.422376
2026-05-17 0.030830 0.059902 0.120760 0.269665 0.667879 1.831115 6.288541
2026-05-24 0.028954 0.056996 0.116657 0.265605 0.674340 1.908429 6.861058
2026-05-31 0.027571 0.055020 0.114428 0.265942 0.693297 2.030199 7.671612
2026-06-07 0.026254 0.053077 0.112090 0.265701 0.710616 2.151329 8.538837
2026-06-14 0.025460 0.052216 0.112154 0.271762 0.747964 2.351229 9.872476